Poland to the polls: Conservative government party PiS is the intended winner
According to the latest polls, almost half, about 45 percent of voters, will vote for the conservative nationalist PiS. Party chairman Jaroslaw Kaczynski calls it “the most important elections since 1989”.
The PiS does not have to expect a headwind from the opposition. While the opposition was still united during the European elections last May, the block has since fallen into four parts. According to the latest polls, the largest opposition party, the right-wing Civic Coalition, would fluctuate around 25 percent of the votes.
In Poland, the 460 seats of the Sejm are allocated by proportional distribution, which means that the larger parties have the advantage. It is therefore possible for the PiS to get an absolute majority in seats if the party receives around 40 percent of the votes.