Trump is certain on the comeback in 2024
Donald Trump claims to consider a comeback with great certainty. Meanwhile, the Republicans have been torn apart by an internal war of direction.
Trump says a while back he longs for his time in the White House. He meets weekly with his political team and thinks ‘100 percent’ of a new candidacy for the US presidency, he said last week in conversation with Fox Business. “The polls show that everyone wants me to do it.”
Indeed, polls indicate that Trump remains the most popular figure in the Republican Party. Six out of ten Republican voters want him back in 2024, a poll by Reuters and Ipsos last month showed.
He did lose some ground. For the first time since the summer of 2019, slightly more Republican voters see themselves initially as Republican, rather than as Trump supporters, they report in a NBC News poll. But the golden formula for success in the party is still loyalty to Trump. In mid-term congressional elections in Texas, one of the candidates wanted his support so badly that she gave her phone number live on TV in the hope that the former president would call.
Republicans hope to win back seats in the U.S. Congress in mid-term congressional elections by the end of next year. But the party does not agree on the course that is needed. A large part is loyal to Trump and copies his provocative fact-free politics. For example, in many Republican states, stricter electoral rules are introduced to prevent alleged electoral fraud. There are no indications that fraud affected last year’s elections, but thanks to Trump it has become a Republican spearhead.
Another, smaller group can’t wait to leave the Trumpian drama behind. In Donald Trump interview for Fox TV, he again lashed out at Mitch McConnell, the party leader who distanced himself from him after continuing to deny his loss and a pack of extremist supporters stormed the Capitol. “We need good leadership. Mitch McConnell didn’t do great. I think they should switch McConnell,” Trump said. A few weeks ago, he called McConnell a dumb son of a bitch.
McConnell was hypothermic. “We look to the future, not to the past.”And the future of the party,” McConnell said, ” is Tim Scott, the senator who was allowed to make a response to Biden’s speech in Congress last week. Scott stands out as the grandson of an illiterate cotton picker who made it into the only black Republican in the Senate. He believes that Democrats are divisive in their efforts to combat racism. The party leadership is praising and openly hoping that Scott will run for President.
Whether he really returns to politics is uncertain – Trump especially likes to keep the attention. But as long as it’s unclear what he’s up to, few Republican politicians will want to profile themselves as an opponent of Trump. In addition to Tim Scott, a number of senators and former cabinet members are leading the campaign. Among them, former Vice President Mike Pence and former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley. But if Trump gets back in, Haley said, she’s gonna drop out.
The existential crisis in the party is distracting from the point of view of opposing Joe Biden. Republicans have not yet found effective criticism. Biden’s first steps to help the country out of the coronavirus crisis with social programs are mostly popular with voters. Meanwhile, the Republican Party focuses a lot on conflicts over cultural issues. Rights for transgender youth on the sports field, for example, or concerns about so – called ‘cancel culture’ – things Biden has little to do with.
Trump remains relatively invisible now that he no longer has access to social media. He now sends the thoughts he shared on Twitter for years in press releases. No major plans for a party, a media company or an online platform have been heard of for a long time. Neither of his wife – Melania Trump fills her days with visits to the spa in Mar-a-Lago, according to CNN sources. Next month, when it gets hot in Florida, the Trump’s moving north to their golf club in New Jersey.